The Royals will send Wade Davis to the mount here today against the Indians who struggle vs. RHP scoring just 3.22 runs per 9 vs RHP on the road. They score about double that vs LHP and it showed yesterday when teir team put up some runs. Davis won't go deep into the game but he's backed by a bullpen with a 0.86 ERA at home. Davis raw numbers are pretty good as he has a 3.88 XFIP which is lower than Ubaldo Jimenez who will make the road start for the Indians.
Jiminez in 2 career starts at Kaufman Stadium has a 5.79 ERA and he has not been able to get out of the 5th. Allowing 16 hits and 6 walks in just 9.1 innings it could actually be a lot worse. I look for KC to win this game because JIminez continues to be over valued and even though he's an under dog he should be a bigger one. Indians are also just 16-35 in their last 51 road games vs RH starter and 4-17 in their last 21 as a road dog with Jiminez on the mound.
3* bonus Under 9 -124
I like the under here as we are getting good value with two under valued pitchers going up against two bad offenses. First of all the wind may be blowing out at Wrigley, but both of these pitchers enduce many more ground balls than fly balls. Jeff Samardzija has a 3.03 ERA and 1.10 WHIP this year and has a 2.57 ERA in his career vs the Padres while Clayton Richard has a 0.57 ERA and 1.02 WHIP against the Cubs in his career.
Pacers/Hawks U187.5 3.3* play
This is a critical game for the Hawks and I anticipate them to dictate the pace once again today and force this game under the total like they finally did in the last one. These are two top 10 defensive teams and the longer this series goes the more we see them take over.
